Earth Changes · Oct 24, 2026World War 3 Watch: ‘Israel will fire first shot, US will try to seize island’: Iran believes attack likely next week

World War 3 Watch · October 24, 2026, 1:37 PM CDT

Key Facts

• ‘Israel will fire first shot, US will try to seize island’: Iran believes attack likely next week (via Indiatimes)^[1]
• World News in Brief: Iran nuclear inspections, deadly church attack in Jordan, El Fasher – one year on (via UN)^[2]
• Live (via Iran International)^[3]

Places mentioned: Aden, Akhlaghi, Ansarallah, Baghdad, Bahrain, Bushehr, Darfuri, Florida, Gedaref, Geneva
Organizations/groups mentioned: Airfares, Airlines Association, Al-Nasr, Alejo Vidal-Quadras, CENTCOM, CNN, Congress, Drop Site, El Fasher, El País

Where These Stories Happened

‘Israel will fire first shot, US will try to seize island’: Iran believes attack likely next week

The United States and Israel are preparing for possible renewed attacks on Iran, with military operations potentially beginning before next week’s Israeli elections, according to senior Iranian officials and a US official cited by Drop Site. However, the White House has denied plans to attack Iran before the US midterm elections.^[1]

Separately, UN reported:

World News in Brief: Iran nuclear inspections, deadly church attack in Jordan, El Fasher – one year on

The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Grossi, called on Friday for a swift return of inspectors to Iran, warning of growing fragility in the global nuclear non-proliferation regime. The technical groundwork has been done and “the bases on which a diplomatic agreement could be concluded exist,” he told the UN General Assembly.^[2]

Watch what was reported:

Middle East Spectator, an aggregator account, not independently verified, on Telegram (October 23, 2026): “— ❗️ 🏴 / 🇯🇴 / ☦️ NEW: Several people were killed and wounded in a horrible terrorist attack against an Orthodox church in Karak Governorate, Jordan The two gunm.”

Elsewhere, Iran International added:

Live

The US is moving some diplomats and families out of Lebanon, the UAE, Qatar and Jordan, CNN reported. Axios said intelligence on alleged Iranian assassination plots helped prompt the staffing reductions.^[3]

Trtworld also reported:

Houthi militia launches multiple missile attacks on Yemen’s Aden

Yemeni authorities have said that the Houthi militia targeted Aden International Airport, a port in the city’s al-Tawahi district and two coast guard facilities with ballistic missiles. The information ministry reported renewed ballistic missile attacks on the airport and port in a post on X on Saturday, without providing details on casualties or damage.^[4]

In a related development, Truthout noted:

Trump Claims Ignorance as His Ambassador Threatens Strikes on Iran This Weekend

Honest, paywall-free news is rare. Please support our boldly independent journalism with a donation of any size.^[5]

References

1. Indiatimes. ‘Israel will fire first shot, US will try to seize island’: Iran believes attack likely next week. ↩
2. UN. World News in Brief: Iran nuclear inspections, deadly church attack in Jordan, El Fasher – one year on. ↩
3. Iran International. Live. ↩
4. Trtworld. Houthi militia launches multiple missile attacks on Yemen’s Aden. ↩
5. Truthout. Trump Claims Ignorance as His Ambassador Threatens Strikes on Iran This Weekend. ↩

Investigative methodology: this update was produced by scripts/ww3_monitor.py, a keyword-and-entity
heuristic (see scripts/significance.py) — not a language model. It quotes and links each source verbatim
and does not add analysis or interpretation.

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