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The Aftermath of the Big Beautiful Bill, Part 2 of 5: SNAP and Food Assistance: public-domain file photo with headline

Economic Justice · Oct 4, 2026The Aftermath of the Big Beautiful Bill, Part 2 of 5: SNAP and Food Assistance

Posted on October 4, 2026, 7:00 AM CDTOctober 7, 2026 by Kemetic Mind

The Aftermath of the Big Beautiful Bill · Part 2 of 5 · October 4, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT

Key Facts

  • The law cuts about $186.7 billion from federal nutrition spending over ten years, according to the Congressional Budget Office. All of the SNAP provisions reduce spending.[1]
  • CBO estimates the expanded work rules alone will cut SNAP participation by about 2.4 million people in an average month.[1]
  • The time limit now reaches adults up to age 64 and parents whose youngest child is 14 or older.[1]
  • A peer-reviewed study of SNAP work requirements found they cut participation among the adults subject to them by 53% and had no effect on employment.[3]

If Medicaid was the law’s largest health cut, SNAP was its largest food cut, and it reached households faster.

Part 1 covered the law and Medicaid. This part goes through each change to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, what the research says, and what you can do.

SNAP AFTER THE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL IN NUMBERS
What changed and when
$186.7B
federal nutrition spending cut over 10 years (CBO, via CRS)
2.4M
fewer SNAP participants in an average month from the work-rule changes
18–64
ages now subject to the time limit (was 18–54)
14+
youngest child’s age at which parents become subject to it
75%
share of administrative costs states pay from FY2027 (was 50%)
5–15%
share of benefit costs states pay from FY2028 if error rates are 6% or more
The calendar
Jul 4, 2025
Law enacted; expanded work-rule population and narrower waivers
FY2027
States pay 75% of administrative costs
Oct 1, 2027
Earliest date USDA may re-evaluate the Thrifty Food Plan, limited to inflation
FY2028
State share of benefit costs begins, based on error rates
Oct 1, 2030
The 2023 law had set these exemptions to end on this date; the 2025 law ended them on enactment (Jul 4, 2025) for veterans, homeless adults and former foster youth
Source: Congressional Research Service, R48552 and R48755 (CBO estimates against its January 2025 baseline).

1. What changed

The Congressional Research Service says the law achieves its SNAP savings through eight provisions, all of which CBO expects to reduce federal spending.[1]

Where the SNAP savings come from, 10 years
Reduction in federal spending, FY2025 to FY2034, in billions of dollars
Work rules (ABAWD) and waivers
$68.6B
State match for benefit costs
$40.8B
Thrifty Food Plan limits
$37.3B
Administrative cost sharing
$24.7B
Internet-expense rule
$11.0B
Energy-assistance rule
$5.9B
SNAP-Ed ended
$5.5B
Noncitizen eligibility
$1.9B
Source: Congressional Research Service, R48552, Table 3 (CBO estimate of P.L. 119-21)
  • Wider work rules. Adults without dependents between 18 and 64 must work or take part in a program for 80 hours a month, or lose benefits after three months in a 36-month period. Before, the limit applied only to ages 18 to 54. The law also applies it to parents whose youngest child is 14 or older.[1][2]
  • Fewer exemptions. The law strikes the exemptions for veterans, people experiencing homelessness and young adults who aged out of foster care. It adds exemptions for Indians, Urban Indians and California Indians as federal law defines them.[1]
  • Harder waivers. Areas can still seek a waiver, but only where unemployment is above 10%. Alaska and Hawaii have a separate test of 1.5 times the national rate.[1]
  • States pay part of the benefit. Starting in FY2028, states with payment-error rates of 6% or more pay a share of benefit costs that rises with their error rate. CBO expects about $35 billion of the $41 billion in savings to come from states paying.[1]
  • States pay more to run the program. From FY2027, states cover 75% of administrative costs instead of 50%.[1]
  • The Thrifty Food Plan. The benefit formula’s market basket can be re-evaluated no earlier than October 1, 2027, and not in a way that exceeds inflation.[1]
  • Benefit calculation. Households without elderly or disabled members no longer get a standard utility allowance from an energy-assistance payment alone, and internet costs no longer count toward the shelter deduction.[1]
  • Noncitizens and nutrition education. SNAP eligibility narrows to lawful permanent residents, Cuban and Haitian entrants and certain Pacific compact migrants. Funding for SNAP-Ed ends.[1]
What a state pays toward benefits, from FY2028
Share of SNAP benefit costs paid by the state, by state payment-error rate
Error rate under 6%
0%
6% to under 8%
5%
8% to under 10%
10%
10% or more
15%
Source: Congressional Research Service, R48552 (Section 10105). States with the highest error rates get a delay to FY2029 or FY2030.
Small changes that add up for households
Bar length shows the share of SNAP households affected; the label shows the monthly loss
Energy-assistance rule: about 3% of households lose roughly $100 a month
~$100
Internet-expense rule: about 65% of households lose roughly $10 a month
~$10
Source: Congressional Research Service, R48552, citing CBO

2. Who is hit twice

The Medicaid work rule and the SNAP rule cover similar people. CRS estimates that in 2025, 6.2 million of 24.7 million affected adults were in both programs.[2]

The two rules also differ. The SNAP rule took effect July 4, 2025, while the Medicaid rule starts by December 31, 2026. Medicaid exempts people already subject to SNAP’s work rules.[2]

Who is in both programs
Millions of people (nondisabled adults under 65 without a child under 14, or expansion adults)
Adults subject to Medicaid or SNAP work rules, 2025
24.7M
…enrolled in both programs
6.2M
Source: Congressional Research Service, R48755 (CRS estimate)

3. What the peer-reviewed research shows

A 2023 study in the American Economic Journal: Economic Policy used linked SNAP and earnings records to test work requirements directly. The researchers found they raised program exits by 23 percentage points among people already enrolled, and cut overall participation among those subject to them by 53%.[3]

They found “no effects on employment.” They also found “suggestive evidence of increased earnings in some specifications.” That second finding supports the policy’s supporters, and we include it for that reason.[3]

They also found that homeless adults were “disproportionately screened out.”[3] The law removed the exemption for homeless adults.[1]

What happened when work requirements were tested on SNAP
Regression-discontinuity study; “homeless adults are disproportionately screened out”
Increase in program exits (percentage points)
+23 pts
Drop in overall participation among those subject
−53%
Effect on employment
none found
Source: Gray, Leive, Prager, Pukelis and Zaki, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2023 (linked administrative SNAP and earnings data)

On the other side of the ledger, a 2017 study in JAMA Internal Medicine followed 4,447 low-income adults. It found SNAP participation was associated with lower later health care spending, “consistent across several analytic approaches.”[4] It is an observational study, so it shows an association, not proof of cause.

A National Bureau of Economic Research working paper studied the original rollout of food stamps by county. It found that access in childhood led to “a significant reduction in the incidence of metabolic syndrome” in adulthood, and, for women, more economic self-sufficiency.[5] That paper was later published in the peer-reviewed American Economic Review (2016).[5]

4. What each side says

The fight over SNAP is sharp, and both sides make claims we could not fully verify.

Democrats in Congress. When they introduced a bill to reverse the cuts in November 2025, House Agriculture Committee Ranking Member Angie Craig said the law “cut SNAP… by $187 billion, taking food away from millions of hungry American seniors, children, people with disabilities and veterans.” Rep. Jahana Hayes said it “implemented the largest cut to SNAP in history.”[7]

The $187 billion figure matches the CBO estimate in the CRS report.[1] The record supports Hayes’s claim. CBO scored the SNAP provisions of the 2014 farm bill at about $8.6 billion in savings over 10 years.[8] It scored the food stamp savings of the 1996 welfare law at $23.3 billion through fiscal 2002.[9] The 2025 law’s $186.7 billion is about eight times the 1996 figure and more than 20 times the 2014 figure, in nominal dollars. We compared it with these two enacted cuts, not with every proposal ever made.

The administration. In a separate fight over state data in December 2025, Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins said the department asked states “to turn over their data to the federal government to let the USDA partner with them to root out this fraud.” She said data from compliant states showed “186,000 deceased people are receiving SNAP benefits and that 500,000 are getting benefits more than once.”[6]

Those are the Secretary’s figures. We did not find an independent review of them. Democratic governors objected: a spokesperson for California’s governor called cutting programs that feed children “morally repugnant,” and New York’s governor asked why the administration was “so hellbent on people going hungry.”[6]

The research gives each side something. It shows the work rule reduces enrollment sharply and does not raise employment. It also shows a small, uncertain earnings signal. It does not settle whether the savings are worth the lost benefits. That is a values question for voters and legislators.

Watch: how the new rules are landing

Video: NBC 7 San Diego — “New work requirements for some SNAP recipients.”

What is not yet known

  • States implement these rules on their own timelines, and we have not seen a national count of people who have already lost benefits.
  • Whether states will cut benefits, tighten eligibility or raise taxes to cover their new cost share is still open. CBO expects a variety of responses.[1]
  • No peer-reviewed study yet measures the enacted rules. The evidence above comes from earlier work requirements and earlier SNAP research.

What You Can Do Right Now

  1. Check if the time limit applies to you. It reaches adults 18 to 64 without dependents, and parents whose youngest child is 14 or older.
  2. Look for an exemption. Pregnancy, disability and the Native-population categories defined in federal law are exempt. Veterans, homeless adults and former foster youth are no longer exempt under the law.
  3. Log your hours. Keep pay stubs, volunteer sign-in sheets, training or class records. You need 80 hours a month.
  4. Ask your county office about a waiver. Areas where unemployment is above 10% can qualify.
  5. Answer recertification notices on time. Paperwork gaps drive losses in work-requirement programs, as the Arkansas Medicaid research in Part 1 showed.
  6. If you lose benefits, ask how to re-qualify. Ask your state agency in writing what you must show and by when.
  7. Use local food help. Food banks and pantries can bridge a gap while you sort out paperwork.
  8. Tell your state legislators. The error-rate cost share starts in FY2028, and states can reduce errors before then.

How to Verify This Yourself

  • Open CRS report R48552 and read Table 3 for each CBO estimate.
  • Read the abstracts of the Gray and Berkowitz papers at the links below.
  • Compare the quotes above with the original press release and PBS article.

References

  1. Congressional Research Service, “Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and Related Nutrition Programs in P.L. 119-21: An Overview,” R48552, 2025. Primary (nonpartisan congressional analysis; reports CBO estimates). congress.gov
  2. Congressional Research Service, “Work Requirements: Comparison of Medicaid and Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) After P.L. 119-21,” R48755, 2025. Primary (nonpartisan congressional analysis). congress.gov
  3. Gray C, Leive A, Prager E, Pukelis K, Zaki M. “Employed in a SNAP? The Impact of Work Requirements on Program Participation and Labor Supply.” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2023. Primary (peer-reviewed). aeaweb.org
  4. Berkowitz SA, Seligman HK, Rigdon J, Meigs JB, Basu S. “Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) Participation and Health Care Expenditures Among Low-Income Adults.” JAMA Internal Medicine, 2017. Primary (peer-reviewed observational study). doi.org
  5. Hoynes HW, Schanzenbach DW, Almond D. “Long Run Impacts of Childhood Access to the Safety Net.” NBER Working Paper 18535, 2012. Primary (we read the abstract only); later published in American Economic Review 106(4): 903–934, 2016. nber.org
  6. PBS NewsHour, “Trump administration says it will withhold SNAP from states led by Democrats if they don’t provide recipient data,” December 2, 2025. Secondary (news report quoting officials). pbs.org
  7. Office of Rep. Jahana Hayes, “After Republicans Cut SNAP, Hayes, Craig, Luján Fight to Restore $187 Billion in Food Assistance,” November 20, 2025. Primary (statements by the officials quoted; partisan source). hayes.house.gov
  8. Congressional Research Service, “Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) Provisions in the 2014 Farm Bill (P.L. 113-79),” R43332. Primary (reports the CBO estimate: “slightly more than $8.6 billion over 10 years”). everycrsreport.com
  9. Congressional Research Service, “New Welfare Law: The Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996,” 96-687, 1996. Primary (reports CBO net food stamp savings of $23.3 billion through FY2002). everycrsreport.com

Investigative methodology: provisions and CBO figures were read from the CRS reports. Study findings were read from published abstracts. Quotation marks mark exact wording from the pages we read. Claims by officials are attributed to them and labeled as unverified where we could not check them.

Kemetic Minds Editorial Desk

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